The Islamic Republic Survived American Bombs. Will It Survive Its Own People?
What the Soviet collapse teaches us about Iran's fragile future? Tehran and Washington have reached a truce, but a narrow one. The latest memorandum extends the ceasefire, reopens the Strait of Hormuz, and lifts the U.S. naval blockade, leaving harder questions—especially Iran's enriched uranium stockpile—for later talks. Yet even this limited deal has done something no airstrike managed: it forced into the open a fight the war had temporarily submerged. Hardliners loyal to new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei see any accommodation with Washington as betrayal. Pragmatists around President Masoud Pezeshkian see the same agreement as a lifeline for a population exhausted by war economics. That argument, however, may obscure a larger question: even if the Islamic Republic has outlasted American and Israeli bombs, can it outlast the discontent of its own people? A Crisis of Legitimacy Political systems run on consent as much as coercion, and in Iran consent has been eroding for a ...